Dubai market intelligence
The Dubai property market at a glance — the transaction boom, the supply pipeline vs what actually gets delivered, who is buying, what the analysts forecast, the megaprojects reshaping the map, and the rules that matter. Distilled from a sourced research corpus.
Live market signals
Official series · year-on-yearThe forces under Dubai property — official price, rent, cost, output and demand indices, updated at source.
Live seller behaviour · across 99,563 active sale listings, sellers are cutting asking prices 3.7× more often than raising them (avg −7.6%), with a median 38 days on market — a broadly balanced market.Bayut live feed · asking prices.
Transaction boom (2020 → 2025)
Total annual real-estate value, AED bn. Up ~424% in five years to a record AED 917bn.
Supply: scheduled vs reality
Huge pipelines are announced, but historically only a fraction completes on time — the real number is what matters.
Who is buying (2025)
Top foreign buyer nationalities by share.
What the analysts say
A spread of independent mid-2026 views — bullish to cautious.
Megaprojects reshaping the map
AED 20.5bn, 30 km — connects Dubai Silicon Oasis, Creek Harbour, International City.
AED 34bn, 42 km, 18 underground stations to Jumeirah Golf Estates.
AED 128bn expansion; 260M passenger capacity; DWC becomes the main hub.
AED 37.6bn in sales; twice the size of Palm Jumeirah; first handovers underway.
Abu Dhabi–Dubai in 57 minutes; Dubai station from Sept 2026.
7.8M population target, +105% green space, 80% of needs within walking distance.
Rules that matter
+ AED 4,200 trustee + 0.25% mortgage reg (unchanged since 2013).
10-year; the 50% upfront-payment rule was removed in Feb 2026.
80% for a first home ≤ AED 5M; off-plan capped at 50%.
Five tiers set by the Smart Rental Index vs your building's benchmark.
On company profits above AED 375k; individual investors are exempt.
Notarised notice required for owner personal-use eviction.
Figures distilled from the dxbprop research corpus (DLD, ValuStrat, Knight Frank, Cavendish Maxwell, Fitch, S&P, Colliers, UBS, official UAE/Dubai sources). General market intelligence, not investment advice.
✦ Want the detail behind any of these numbers?
The AI has the full sourced research — ask it to explain the forecast for your area, the real supply risk, or how a rule affects your purchase.