Dubai supply pipeline
How much new property is coming, and where — upcoming off-plan handovers by year, the communities with the heaviest incoming supply, and the construction-permit trend. The single biggest input to near-term oversupply risk.
Build-cost & price pressure
Official series · year-on-yearOfficial construction-cost and property-price indices — rising build costs put a floor under new launch prices.
Upcoming off-plan handovers by year
Off-plan projects scheduled to complete each year (live off-plan feed). The delivery wave peaks in 2027 with 579 projects.
Communities with the most incoming supply
The 25 busiest of 121 communities with off-plan projects handing over from 2026 (live off-plan feed, by project count). This is a leaderboard, not the full list — most other communities (e.g. Dubai Sports City) also have projects coming; open any area page or ask the AI for a specific community’s pipeline.
- Dubai Islands148
- Jumeirah Village Circle (JVC)138
- Dubai South124
- Dubai Land Residence Complex (DLRC)84
- Dubai Hills Estate50
- Mohammed Bin Rashid City (MBR City)47
- Business Bay44
- Jumeirah Village Triangle (JVT)40
- Al Furjan38
- Dubai Creek Harbour36
- Jumeirah Garden City36
- Mina Rashid34
- Majan34
- Arjan33
- DAMAC Lagoons33
- Dubai Maritime City31
- Dubai Production City (IMPZ)27
- International City Phase 2 (Warsan 4)27
- Motor City27
- The Valley by Emaar26
- Meydan25
- Town Square24
- Dubai Industrial City23
- Expo City22
- City Walk21
Construction activity (historical)
Building permits issued (new supply starting) and projects completing per year, from the Dubai Municipality register.
| Year | Permits issued | Projects completing |
|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 11,565 | 650 |
| 2016 | 13,629 | 862 |
| 2017 | 13,537 | 1,029 |
| 2018 | 9,683 | 1,128 |
| 2019 | 7,927 | 732 |
| 2020 | 6,545 | 516 |
| 2021 | 8,129 | 532 |
| 2022 | 9,745 | 603 |
| 2023 | 13,275 | 814 |
| 2024 | 13,403 | 1,353 |
| 2025 | 14,645 | 2,717 |
| 2026 | 8,550 | 4,992 |
Handover schedule from the live off-plan feed (project counts, not units; dates can slip). Construction permits from the Dubai Municipality register. Current/partial years are year-to-date.
Pipeline vs reality (2026–2028)
Headline pipeline numbers are huge, but historically only a fraction of scheduled units actually complete on time. The realistic delivery range is what shapes prices and rents.
- 24,537homes completed in H1 2026 (+36% YoY) across 104 projects worth AED 111bn — official DLD figures (Aug 2026)
- 14k–23.5kof the ~47,000 homes scheduled for H2 2026 expected to actually complete — only 30–50% of the paper pipeline (Cavendish Maxwell, Jul 2026)
- ~55,600homes forecast for delivery in 2026, the most since 2008 — yet only ~35% of the ~525,000-unit pipeline is past 20% construction (Cushman & Wakefield, Jul 2026)
- −72.5%fall in new-unit launches in H1 2026 (28,000 vs 102,000) as developers switch from launching to delivering — a brake on 2028–30 supply (Cavendish Maxwell, Jul 2026)
- ~180,000new homes expected to complete in 2026–2028, likely weighing on price and rent growth (Moody's, 2026)
Forecast figures from the research corpus (DLD, Cavendish Maxwell, Cushman & Wakefield, Moody's). General market intelligence, not advice.
✦ Worried about oversupply in a specific area?
Ask the AI how much new supply is landing in a community vs its existing stock, and whether that points to price or rent pressure.