Dubai supply pipeline
How much new property is coming, and where — upcoming off-plan handovers by year, the communities with the heaviest incoming supply, and the construction-permit trend. The single biggest input to near-term oversupply risk.
Build-cost & price pressure
Official series · year-on-yearOfficial construction-cost and property-price indices — rising build costs put a floor under new launch prices.
Upcoming off-plan handovers by year
Off-plan projects scheduled to complete each year (live off-plan feed). The delivery wave peaks in 2027 with 569 projects.
Communities with the most incoming supply
The 25 busiest of 104 communities with off-plan projects handing over from 2026 (live off-plan feed, by project count). This is a leaderboard, not the full list — most other communities (e.g. Dubai Sports City) also have projects coming; open any area page or ask the AI for a specific community’s pipeline.
- Dubai Islands147
- Jumeirah Village Circle (JVC)131
- Dubai South119
- Dubai Land Residence Complex (DLRC)80
- Dubai Investments Park (DIP)54
- Dubai Hills Estate50
- Mohammed Bin Rashid City (MBR City)47
- Business Bay42
- Al Furjan38
- Jumeirah Village Triangle (JVT)37
- Meydan35
- Al Wasl35
- Dubai Creek Harbour35
- Majan34
- Arjan34
- DAMAC Lagoons32
- Al Satwa32
- Mina Rashid30
- International City Phase 2 (Warsan 4)28
- Dubai Maritime City27
- City of Arabia27
- Motor City27
- Dubai Production City (IMPZ)25
- The Valley by Emaar25
- Town Square24
Construction activity (historical)
Building permits issued (new supply starting) and projects completing per year, from the Dubai Municipality register.
| Year | Permits issued | Projects completing |
|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 11,565 | 647 |
| 2016 | 13,629 | 867 |
| 2017 | 13,537 | 1,034 |
| 2018 | 9,683 | 1,134 |
| 2019 | 7,927 | 738 |
| 2020 | 6,545 | 521 |
| 2021 | 8,129 | 541 |
| 2022 | 9,745 | 612 |
| 2023 | 13,275 | 831 |
| 2024 | 13,403 | 1,423 |
| 2025 | 14,645 | 3,045 |
| 2026 | 7,200 | 5,235 |
Handover schedule from the live off-plan feed (project counts, not units; dates can slip). Construction permits from the Dubai Municipality register. Current/partial years are year-to-date.
Pipeline vs reality (2026–2028)
Headline pipeline numbers are huge, but historically only a fraction of scheduled units actually complete on time. The realistic delivery range is what shapes prices and rents.
- ~21–22%of launched units have historically completed on time (2024–25 materialisation rate)
- 46%on-time delivery rate in 2025, down from ~60% in 2022–24 — a contractor-capacity crunch
- 92 : 8apartment-to-villa split in the pipeline — villas remain structurally undersupplied
- 78.6%of the 2026 pipeline is already pre-sold — buffering against distressed handovers
- ~612,000total Dubai residential units at end-Q1 2026 — the largest stock in the emirate's history
Forecast figures from the research corpus (Cavendish Maxwell, Knight Frank, JLL). General market intelligence, not advice.
✦ Worried about oversupply in a specific area?
Ask the AI how much new supply is landing in a community vs its existing stock, and whether that points to price or rent pressure.